2021 VY4 is a very small asteroid whose orbit could bring it in close proximity to Earth. NASA JPL has classified 2021 VY4 as a "Near Earth Asteroid" due to its orbit's proximity to Earth, but it is not considered potentially hazardous because computer simulations have not indicated any imminent likelihood of future collision.
2021 VY4 orbits the sun every 305 days (0.84 years), coming as close as 0.53 AU and reaching as far as 1.25 AU from the sun. Based on its brightness and the way it reflects light, 2021 VY4 is probably between 0.014 to 0.031 kilometers in diameter, making it a small to average asteroid, very roughly comparable in size to a school bus or smaller.
2021 VY4's orbit is 0.00 AU from Earth's orbit at its closest point. This means that its orbit is relatively close to Earth's orbit.
2021 VY4 has 6 close approaches predicted in the coming decades:
| Date | Distance from Earth (km) | Velocity (km/s) |
|---|---|---|
| Nov. 12, 2021 | 894,001 | 13.815 |
| Nov. 12, 2026 | 11,246,009 | 12.234 |
| Nov. 10, 2031 | 23,088,114 | 10.976 |
| Nov. 9, 2067 | 24,367,495 | 18.307 |
| Nov. 10, 2072 | 11,308,982 | 15.883 |
| Nov. 12, 2077 | 207,537 | 14.038 |
NASA Sentry has assessed impact risk for 44 very close approach scenarios. Here are the top scenarios ordered by probability of impact:
| Date | Probability of Impact (%) | Impact Energy (Mt) |
|---|---|---|
| Nov. 14, 2111 | 0.00094 | 0.2759 |
| Nov. 14, 2110 | 0.00041 | 0.2761 |
| Nov. 13, 2108 | 0.00035 | 0.2748 |
| Nov. 13, 2116 | 0.00033 | 0.2764 |
| Nov. 14, 2106 | 0.00019 | 0.2755 |
| Nov. 13, 2109 | 0.00018 | 0.2764 |
| Nov. 13, 2108 | 0.00009 | 0.2768 |
| Nov. 14, 2103 | 0.00006 | 0.2769 |
| Nov. 14, 2115 | 0.00006 | 0.2767 |
| Nov. 13, 2109 | 0.00005 | 0.2752 |
| Nov. 13, 2117 | 0.00004 | 0.2767 |
| Nov. 14, 2110 | 0.00004 | 0.2762 |
| Nov. 13, 2116 | 0.00004 | 0.2763 |
| Nov. 14, 2115 | 0.00003 | 0.2755 |
| Nov. 14, 2103 | 0.00003 | 0.2765 |
| Nov. 13, 2121 | 0.00003 | 0.2753 |
| Nov. 13, 2112 | 0.00003 | 0.2767 |
| Nov. 13, 2117 | 0.00003 | 0.2765 |
| Nov. 14, 2111 | 0.00003 | 0.2759 |
| Nov. 14, 2119 | 0.00003 | 0.2772 |
| Nov. 13, 2120 | 0.00002 | 0.2767 |
| Nov. 14, 2106 | 0.00002 | 0.2761 |
| Nov. 14, 2114 | 0.00002 | 0.2765 |
| Nov. 13, 2116 | 0.00002 | 0.2764 |
| Nov. 14, 2111 | 0.00002 | 0.2764 |
| Nov. 14, 2111 | 0.00002 | 0.2752 |
| Nov. 13, 2112 | 0.00001 | 0.2757 |
| Nov. 13, 2109 | 0.00001 | 0.2765 |
| Nov. 14, 2106 | 0.00001 | 0.2765 |
| Nov. 13, 2113 | 0.00001 | 0.2763 |
| Nov. 13, 2121 | 0.00001 | 0.2765 |
| Nov. 14, 2106 | 0.00001 | 0.2766 |
| Nov. 13, 2109 | 0.00001 | 0.2767 |
| Nov. 14, 2115 | 0.00001 | 0.2763 |
| Nov. 14, 2115 | 0.00001 | 0.2765 |
| Nov. 13, 2120 | 0.00000 | 0.2751 |
| Nov. 14, 2119 | 0.00000 | 0.2773 |
| Nov. 13, 2117 | 0.00000 | 0.2765 |
| Nov. 13, 2112 | 0.00000 | 0.2776 |
| Nov. 13, 2117 | 0.00000 | 0.2776 |
| Nov. 13, 2117 | 0.00000 | 0.2755 |
| Nov. 13, 2121 | 0.00000 | 0.2751 |
| Nov. 13, 2109 | 0.00000 | 0.2772 |
| Nov. 14, 2115 | 0.00000 | 0.2755 |
2021 VY4's orbit is determined by observations dating back to Nov. 8, 2021. It was last officially observed on Nov. 11, 2021. The IAU Minor Planet Center records 25 observations used to determine its orbit.
The position of 2021 VY4 is indicated by a ◯ pink circle. Note that the object may not be in your current field of view. Use the controls below to adjust position, location, and time.