Key Facts

  • Categorized as a Apollo-class Asteroid
  • Comparable in size to a school bus or smaller
  • Will pass within 652,537 km of Earth in 2021
  • Classified as a Near Earth Asteroid (NEA)
  • Not a Potentially Hazardous Object
  • See orbit simulation

Overview

2021 VQ10 is a very small asteroid whose orbit crosses the orbit of Earth. NASA JPL has classified 2021 VQ10 as a "Near Earth Asteroid" due to its orbit's proximity to Earth, but it is not considered potentially hazardous because computer simulations have not indicated any imminent likelihood of future collision.

2021 VQ10 orbits the sun every 487 days (1.33 years), coming as close as 0.69 AU and reaching as far as 1.73 AU from the sun. Based on its brightness and the way it reflects light, 2021 VQ10 is probably between 0.010 to 0.022 kilometers in diameter, making it a small to average asteroid, very roughly comparable in size to a school bus or smaller.

Close Approaches

2021 VQ10's orbit is 0.00 AU from Earth's orbit at its closest point. This means that its orbit is very close to Earth's orbit.

2021 VQ10 has 4 close approaches predicted in the coming decades:

Date Distance from Earth (km) Velocity (km/s)
Nov. 7, 2021 652,537 14.471
Nov. 8, 2025 3,461,881 14.954
Nov. 11, 2029 14,676,403 17.100
Nov. 15, 2033 27,123,054 19.504

NASA Sentry has assessed impact risk for 26 very close approach scenarios. Here are the top scenarios ordered by probability of impact:

Date Probability of Impact (%) Impact Energy (Mt)
Nov. 7, 2095 0.00006 0.1028
Nov. 8, 2107 0.00004 0.1027
Nov. 6, 2084 0.00004 0.103
Nov. 7, 2055 0.00003 0.1027
Nov. 6, 2056 0.00001 0.1027
Nov. 8, 2118 0.00001 0.1026
Nov. 7, 2066 0.00001 0.1025
Nov. 6, 2088 0.00001 0.1028
Nov. 6, 2084 0.00001 0.103
Nov. 6, 2076 0.00001 0.1028
Nov. 6, 2072 0.00001 0.1025
May 5, 2085 0.00000 0.1023
Nov. 8, 2102 0.00000 0.1027
Nov. 7, 2079 0.00000 0.1028
May 6, 2103 0.00000 0.1027
May 6, 2111 0.00000 0.1029
Nov. 8, 2102 0.00000 0.1026
Nov. 8, 2107 0.00000 0.1027
Nov. 8, 2107 0.00000 0.1028
Nov. 6, 2072 0.00000 0.1025
Nov. 8, 2110 0.00000 0.1027
May 5, 2074 0.00000 0.1024
Nov. 6, 2092 0.00000 0.1029
May 6, 2122 0.00000 0.1027
May 4, 2072 0.00000 0.1025
May 5, 2099 0.00000 0.1026

Images and Observations

2021 VQ10's orbit is determined by observations dating back to Nov. 9, 2021. It was last officially observed on Nov. 12, 2021. The IAU Minor Planet Center records 13 observations used to determine its orbit.

Accessibility and Exploration

This asteroid is not considered a viable target for human exploration by the NHATS study.

Similar Objects

These objects have orbits that share similar characteristics to the orbit of 2021 VQ10:

References

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Orbital Elements

  • Epoch: 2460200.5 JD
  • Semi-major axis: 1.212 AU
  • Eccentricity: 0.4305
  • Inclination: 9.92°
  • Longitude of Ascending Node: 44.66°
  • Argument of Periapsis: 269.18°
  • Mean Anomaly: 181.17°

Physical Characteristics

  • Diameter: ~0.013 km
  • Magnitude: 27.16

Derived Characteristics

  • Orbit Period: 487 days (1.33 years)
  • Avg. Orbit Speed: 27.07 km/s
  • Aphelion Distance: 1.73 AU
  • Perihelion Distance: 0.69 AU

Map Comparison

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Orbit Simulation

Sky Map

The position of 2021 VQ10 is indicated by a ◯ pink circle. Note that the object may not be in your current field of view. Use the controls below to adjust position, location, and time.