Key Facts

  • Categorized as a Apollo-class Asteroid
  • Comparable in size to a school bus or smaller
  • Will pass within 419,033 km of Earth in 2020
  • Classified as a Near Earth Asteroid (NEA)
  • Not a Potentially Hazardous Object
  • See orbit simulation

Overview

2018 VP1 is a very small asteroid whose orbit crosses the orbit of Earth. NASA JPL has classified 2018 VP1 as a "Near Earth Asteroid" due to its orbit's proximity to Earth, but it is not considered potentially hazardous because computer simulations have not indicated any imminent likelihood of future collision.

2018 VP1 orbits the sun every 753 days (2.06 years), coming as close as 0.91 AU and reaching as far as 2.33 AU from the sun. Based on its brightness and the way it reflects light, 2018 VP1 is probably between 0.002 to 0.004 kilometers in diameter, making it a small to average asteroid, very roughly comparable in size to a school bus or smaller.

Close Approaches

2018 VP1's orbit is 0.00 AU from Earth's orbit at its closest point. This means that its orbit is very close to Earth's orbit.

2018 VP1 has 1 close approaches predicted in the coming decades:

Date Distance from Earth (km) Velocity (km/s)
Nov. 2, 2020 419,033 9.711

NASA Sentry has assessed impact risk for 19 very close approach scenarios. Here are the top scenarios ordered by probability of impact:

Date Probability of Impact (%) Impact Energy (Mt)
Nov. 2, 2025 0.00003 0.0004127
Nov. 2, 2025 0.00003 0.0004129
Nov. 3, 2039 0.00001 0.0004129
Nov. 1, 2024 0.00001 0.0004126
April 27, 2027 0.00001 0.0004134
Nov. 2, 2027 0.00001 0.0004136
Nov. 2, 2029 0.00000 0.0004128
Nov. 2, 2031 0.00000 0.0004128
Nov. 2, 2030 0.00000 0.0004135
Nov. 2, 2042 0.00000 0.0004101
Nov. 2, 2039 0.00000 0.0004132
Nov. 2, 2033 0.00000 0.0004131
Nov. 2, 2025 0.00000 0.0004129
Nov. 2, 2036 0.00000 0.0004128
Nov. 2, 2035 0.00000 0.0004125
Nov. 2, 2079 0.00000 0.0004154
Nov. 2, 2045 0.00000 0.0004127
Nov. 4, 2118 0.00000 0.0004127
Nov. 3, 2092 0.00000 0.0004123

Images and Observations

2018 VP1's orbit is determined by observations dating back to Nov. 3, 2018. It was last officially observed on Nov. 16, 2018. The IAU Minor Planet Center records 21 observations used to determine its orbit.

Accessibility and Exploration

This asteroid is not considered a viable target for human exploration by the NHATS study.

Similar Objects

These objects have orbits that share similar characteristics to the orbit of 2018 VP1:

References

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Orbital Elements

  • Epoch: 2460200.5 JD
  • Semi-major axis: 1.62 AU
  • Eccentricity: 0.4389
  • Inclination: 3.19°
  • Longitude of Ascending Node: 39.75°
  • Argument of Periapsis: 316.63°
  • Mean Anomaly: 155.36°

Physical Characteristics

  • Diameter: ~0.002 km
  • Magnitude: 30.9

Derived Characteristics

  • Orbit Period: 753 days (2.06 years)
  • Avg. Orbit Speed: 23.41 km/s
  • Aphelion Distance: 2.33 AU
  • Perihelion Distance: 0.91 AU

Map Comparison

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Orbit Simulation

Sky Map

The position of 2018 VP1 is indicated by a ◯ pink circle. Note that the object may not be in your current field of view. Use the controls below to adjust position, location, and time.